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Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
Stephen Nover's MLB Monday Top Ticket - 18-9-2 (67%) Baseball!

Fresh off a 3-0 day on his Sunday plays, Stephen Nover continues to rake in monster profits this baseball season winning 67 percent of his premium plays going 18-9-2! Quality above quantity is Stephen's motto when it comes to baseball and it pays off again as he's found a top play on today's card.

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Stephen Nover's NBA Playoff Total of the Month - 83% NBA Hot Streak!

Whether it's short-term where he's on an 83 percent hot streak winning five of his last six plays, or long-term where he's 103-65-2 on his NBA Games of the Week/Month/Year plays, Stephen Nover beats the NBA. Fresh off a 3-0 NBA weekend with easy winners on the Magic Saturday, underdog Clippers, who beat the Mavericks straight-up on Sunday, and cashing the Over in the Timberwolves-Suns Sunday night game by 36 points, Stephen is on fire seeing the board great. He's been outstanding on totals - 62 percent on his last 34 - and on his largest plays. This is his top total of the month - and of the playoffs! 

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 28, 2024
Wolves vs Suns 		OVER 212½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Normally I'd prefer Under rather than Over when it comes to NBA playoff basketball. But in this case, I find the value to be on the Over.
The Timberwolves and Suns met just two days ago. There were 235 points scored in that game.

Minnesota won again to go up 3-0 in the series. The Timberwolves are dominating the paint. They are averaging 117 points in the series. Phoenix doesn't have the defensive capability to shut down Minnesota.

The Suns are a frustrated and humiliated team. They are playing at home, though, with nothing to lose at this embarrassing stage. So I see them playing fast and furious with a tempo that suits an Over. Phoenix certainly has the offensive stars to produce a lot of points against any team. 
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 28, 2024
Diamondbacks vs Mariners 		UNDER 7 -115 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Diamondbacks have scored a meager one run in each of their last three games. Now they are facing the pitcher who I believe is the most underrated in baseball - Logan Gilbert. He has a 1.87 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. I don't see Arizona doing much against Gilbert especially on the road in Seattle's tough pitching park.

The Mariners have scored four or fewer runs in four of their last five games. They rank 24th in runs and 25th in batting average. So Arizona starter Brandon Pfaadt should prove serviceable here.

Note, too, that Bill Miller is slated to be the home plate umpire. He's always been good to pitchers.
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 28, 2024
Clippers vs Mavs 		Clippers
+6 -108 at Ace 		Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium
I'm taking the Clippers in this point range knowing Kawhi Leonard isn't going to be 100 percent - and that's if he even plays. He's questionable due to knee soreness.

But I want the better defensive team, which are the Clippers, and this many points in what shapes up as an intense, defensive-focused matchup. The first three games of the series all went Under. Now we have the lowest total of the four games. LA has held Dallas to an average of 98 points during the first three games.

Down 2-1 in the series, the Clippers will be at their most intense. It's not that they're lacking star power with James Harden, Paul George and a combative Russell Westbrook. The problem for the Clippers is cold-shooting. They are 18-for-54 from 3-point range, which is 25 percent. The Clippers made 38 percent of their 3-pointers during the regular season.

The Mavericks' defense is below average, ranking 20th in points allowed and 18th in 3-point defense. The Clippers have a top-10 defense.

I'm not counting on him being out, but Luka Doncic is questionable because of a sore knee. It would be an unexpected bonus if he didn't play. Tim Hardaway is doubtful with an ankle sprain. He's the Mavericks' third-leading scorer.
SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.